Prelims1
Flyweight
Alptekin Ozkilic vs Ben Nguyen
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Alptekin Ozkilic
Ben Nguyen
42%
58%
Why
65"
Reach
65"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
L2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ozkilic: 15 sig / 1 TD ·
Nguyen: 27 sig / 0 TD
Alptekin Ozkilic
Ben Nguyen
47
Sig strikes landed
52
119
Sig strikes attempted
117
67
Total strikes landed
68
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.8
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
182s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Alptekin Ozkilic
"The Turkish Delight"
9-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
Blue corner
Ben Nguyen
"Ten"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
27