Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Alex Chambers vs Kailin Curran
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Alex Chambers
Kailin Curran
34%
66%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
36
Age
Δ 12y
24
5-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
4-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Chambers: 44 sig / 2 TD ·
Curran: 81 sig / 2 TD
Alex Chambers
Kailin Curran
26
Sig strikes landed
31
34
Sig strikes attempted
57
48
Total strikes landed
60
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
357s
Control time
205s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alex Chambers
"Astro Girl"
5-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—
Blue corner
L1
Kailin Curran
4-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—