Main
Light Heavyweight
Anthony Perosh vs Sean O'Connell
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Anthony Perosh
Sean O'Connell
29%
71%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
43
Age
Δ 11y
32
16-10
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Perosh: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
O'Connell: 20 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Perosh
Sean O'Connell
35
Sig strikes landed
39
76
Sig strikes attempted
77
45
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.3
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
97s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Anthony Perosh
"The Hippo"
16-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
43
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
W1
Sean O'Connell
"The Real OC"
18-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—