Main
Middleweight
Brad Tavares vs Robert Whittaker
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Brad Tavares
Robert Whittaker
28%
72%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
27
Age
Δ 3y
24
22-13
Career record
Δ 13 pp
28-9
W1
Current streak
W2
11
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Tavares: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Whittaker: 10 sig / 0 TD
Brad Tavares
Robert Whittaker
50
Sig strikes landed
55
133
Sig strikes attempted
124
60
Total strikes landed
66
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.1
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
90s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Brad Tavares
22-13
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
Blue corner
W2
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
28-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
L
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—