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Stipe Miocic vs Mark Hunt

UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt ·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Stipe Miocic
Mark Hunt
93% 7%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
33
Age
Δ 8y
41
20-6
Career record
Δ 32 pp
13-15-1
L1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 5
Miocic: 113 sig / 6 TD · Hunt: 33 sig / 0 TD
Stipe Miocic
Mark Hunt
60
Sig strikes landed
24
104
Sig strikes attempted
67
120
Total strikes landed
36
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
209s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Stipe Miocic

20-6
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
W UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
W UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
W UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
L UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
L1

Mark Hunt

"Super Samoan"
13-15-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database 9 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
D UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
L UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—