Prelims1
Lightweight
Chris Wade vs Christos Giagos
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
·Smoothie King Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Chris Wade
Christos Giagos
59%
41%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
28
Age
Δ 2y
25
13-3
Career record
Δ 18 pp
21-12
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wade: 32 sig / 4 TD ·
Giagos: 28 sig / 0 TD
Chris Wade
Christos Giagos
19
Sig strikes landed
13
35
Sig strikes attempted
27
39
Total strikes landed
26
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
268s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
45%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Chris Wade
13-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
W
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—
Blue corner
W1
Christos Giagos
"The Spartan"
21-12
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
L
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—