Prelims1
Heavyweight
Shawn Jordan vs Derrick Lewis
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
·Smoothie King Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Shawn Jordan
Derrick Lewis
43%
57%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
79"
31
Age
Δ 0y
30
20-8
Career record
Δ 2 pp
30-13
W2
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Jordan: 23 sig / 3 TD ·
Lewis: 6 sig / 0 TD
Shawn Jordan
Derrick Lewis
17
Sig strikes landed
19
23
Sig strikes attempted
35
32
Total strikes landed
40
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
185s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Shawn Jordan
"The Savage"
20-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
W
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
Blue corner
W1
Derrick Lewis
"The Black Beast"
30-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—