Main
Middleweight
Gegard Mousasi vs Constantinos Philippou
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
·Mall of Asia Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Gegard Mousasi
Constantinos Philippou
97%
3%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
30
Age
Δ 6y
36
43-6-2
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-5
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mousasi: 56 sig / 4 TD ·
Philippou: 9 sig / 0 TD
Gegard Mousasi
Constantinos Philippou
39
Sig strikes landed
21
81
Sig strikes attempted
59
50
Total strikes landed
34
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
0.6
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
165s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Gegard Mousasi
43-6-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
Blue corner
W1
Constantinos Philippou
14-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
L
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—