Main
Featherweight
Frankie Edgar vs Urijah Faber
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
·Mall of Asia Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Frankie Edgar
Urijah Faber
36%
64%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
24-11-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
36-11
W3
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Edgar: 83 sig / 5 TD ·
Faber: 48 sig / 0 TD
Frankie Edgar
Urijah Faber
58
Sig strikes landed
61
141
Sig strikes attempted
149
92
Total strikes landed
72
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
5.2
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
188s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Frankie Edgar
"The Answer"
24-11-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—
W
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
L
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
L
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
Blue corner
W2
Urijah Faber
"The California Kid"
36-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
W
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—