Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Tae Hyun Bang
Jon Tuck
60%
40%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
19-10
Career record
Δ 3 pp
10-6
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Bang: 12 sig / 1 TD ·
Tuck: 13 sig / 0 TD
Tae Hyun Bang
Jon Tuck
40
Sig strikes landed
41
94
Sig strikes attempted
93
55
Total strikes landed
52
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
116s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tae Hyun Bang
"Supernatural"
19-10
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—
Blue corner
L1
Jon Tuck
"Super Saiyan"
10-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
—