Prelims1
Lightweight
Zhang Lipeng vs Kajan Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
·Mall of Asia Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zhang Lipeng
Kajan Johnson
75%
25%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
25
Age
Δ 6y
31
23-10-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
23-14-1
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lipeng: 20 sig / 1 TD ·
Johnson: 20 sig / 3 TD
Zhang Lipeng
Kajan Johnson
32
Sig strikes landed
16
64
Sig strikes attempted
54
61
Total strikes landed
40
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.9
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
230s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Zhang Lipeng
"The Warrior"
23-10-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
Blue corner
L1
Kajan Johnson
"Ragin'"
23-14-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—