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Mark Eddiva vs Levan Makashvili

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber ·Mall of Asia Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Mark Eddiva
Levan Makashvili
30% 70%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
29
Age
Δ 3y
26
L1
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Eddiva: 32 sig / 0 TD · Makashvili: 27 sig / 7 TD
Mark Eddiva
Levan Makashvili
41
Sig strikes landed
44
87
Sig strikes attempted
91
56
Total strikes landed
67
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
146s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Mark Eddiva

6-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
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W UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
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Blue corner

Levan Makashvili

"The Hornet"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26