Prelims1
Welterweight
Li Jingliang vs Dhiego Lima
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
·Mall of Asia Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Li Jingliang
Dhiego Lima
59%
41%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
27
Age
Δ 1y
26
19-10
Career record
Δ 3 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jingliang: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Lima: 6 sig / 0 TD
Li Jingliang
Dhiego Lima
40
Sig strikes landed
41
109
Sig strikes attempted
101
63
Total strikes landed
57
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.7
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
144s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Li Jingliang
"The Leech"
19-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
Blue corner
L1
Dhiego Lima
17-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—