Back to UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2
Prelims1 Featherweight

Damian Stasiak vs Yaotzin Meza

UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 ·Tauron Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Damian Stasiak
Yaotzin Meza
57% 43%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
25
Age
Δ 9y
34
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stasiak: 14 sig / 1 TD · Meza: 17 sig / 2 TD
Damian Stasiak
Yaotzin Meza
32
Sig strikes landed
27
57
Sig strikes attempted
63
52
Total strikes landed
50
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.1
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
92s
Control time
223s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
37%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Damian Stasiak

"Webster"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
L1

Yaotzin Meza

21-12 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
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