Prelims1
Heavyweight
Daniel Omielanczuk vs Anthony Hamilton
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2
·Tauron Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Daniel Omielanczuk
Anthony Hamilton
73%
27%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
33
Age
Δ 2y
35
19-9-1
Career record
Δ 6 pp
15-10
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Omielanczuk: 36 sig / 1 TD ·
Hamilton: 83 sig / 3 TD
Daniel Omielanczuk
Anthony Hamilton
28
Sig strikes landed
21
37
Sig strikes attempted
35
46
Total strikes landed
34
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
133s
Control time
377s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Daniel Omielanczuk
19-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—
W
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
Blue corner
L1
Anthony Hamilton
"Freight Train"
15-10
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
W
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—