Back to UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Izabela Badurek vs Aleksandra Albu

UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 ·Tauron Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Izabela Badurek
Aleksandra Albu
62% 38%
Why
24
Age
Δ 1y
25

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Badurek: 32 sig / 1 TD · Albu: 42 sig / 0 TD
Izabela Badurek
Aleksandra Albu
33
Sig strikes landed
32
79
Sig strikes attempted
70
63
Total strikes landed
54
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
155s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Izabela Badurek

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner

Aleksandra Albu

"Stitch"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25