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Marcin Bandel vs Stevie Ray

UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 ·Tauron Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Marcin Bandel
Stevie Ray
42% 58%
Why
26
Age
Δ 0y
25
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Bandel: 3 sig / 0 TD · Ray: 31 sig / 0 TD
Marcin Bandel
Stevie Ray
22
Sig strikes landed
35
51
Sig strikes attempted
70
31
Total strikes landed
54
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
91s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Marcin Bandel

"Bomba"
15-8
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
Blue corner

Stevie Ray

"Braveheart"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25