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Jimi Manuwa vs Jan Blachowicz

UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 ·Tauron Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jimi Manuwa
Jan Blachowicz
37% 63%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
35
Age
Δ 3y
32
17-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
30-11-2
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Manuwa: 43 sig / 0 TD · Blachowicz: 44 sig / 0 TD
Jimi Manuwa
Jan Blachowicz
20
Sig strikes landed
22
43
Sig strikes attempted
42
35
Total strikes landed
36
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
109s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jimi Manuwa

"Poster Boy"
17-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
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W UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
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W UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
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W UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
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Blue corner
W1

Jan Blachowicz

30-11-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
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