Back to UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2
Main Welterweight

Pawel Pawlak vs Sheldon Westcott

UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 ·Tauron Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Pawel Pawlak
Sheldon Westcott
67% 33%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
26
Age
Δ 4y
31
12-4
Career record
Δ 8 pp
10-4-1
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pawlak: 30 sig / 3 TD · Westcott: 17 sig / 3 TD
Pawel Pawlak
Sheldon Westcott
31
Sig strikes landed
32
65
Sig strikes attempted
65
50
Total strikes landed
55
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.9
2.5
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
119s
Control time
220s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Pawel Pawlak

12-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
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Blue corner
L1

Sheldon Westcott

10-4-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
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