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Jorge de Oliveira vs Christos Giagos

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare ·Ginasio do Maracanazinho
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Jorge de Oliveira
Christos Giagos
39% 61%
Why
35
Age
Δ 10y
25
9-3
Career record
Δ 14 pp
20-13
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
de Oliveira: 0 sig / 0 TD · Giagos: 18 sig / 1 TD
Jorge de Oliveira
Christos Giagos
31
Sig strikes landed
36
78
Sig strikes attempted
99
49
Total strikes landed
57
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.50
132s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jorge de Oliveira

"Blade"
9-3
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
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Blue corner
L1

Christos Giagos

"The Spartan"
20-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
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