Back to UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Prelims2 Flyweight

Bentley Syler vs Fredy Serrano

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare ·Ginasio do Maracanazinho
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Bentley Syler
Fredy Serrano
66% 34%
Why
32
Age
Δ 3y
36

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Syler: 15 sig / 0 TD · Serrano: 20 sig / 2 TD
Bentley Syler
Fredy Serrano
32
Sig strikes landed
30
72
Sig strikes attempted
63
47
Total strikes landed
37
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
164s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Bentley Syler

"Bolivia"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner

Fredy Serrano

"El Profe"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36