Main
Featherweight
Godofredo Pepey vs Andre Fili
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
·Ginasio do Maracanazinho
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Godofredo Pepey
Andre Fili
39%
61%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
28
Age
Δ 3y
25
14-6
Career record
Δ 3 pp
26-13
W2
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Pepey: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Fili: 1 sig / 0 TD
Godofredo Pepey
Andre Fili
25
Sig strikes landed
34
67
Sig strikes attempted
86
36
Total strikes landed
58
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
130s
Control time
176s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Godofredo Pepey
14-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
Blue corner
W1
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
26-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
L
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—