Prelims1
Lightweight
Leandro Silva vs Drew Dober
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
·Ginasio do Maracanazinho
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Leandro Silva
Drew Dober
53%
47%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
29
Age
Δ 3y
26
21-6-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
30-15
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 2
Silva: 25 sig / 2 TD ·
Dober: 22 sig / 0 TD
Leandro Silva
Drew Dober
36
Sig strikes landed
29
71
Sig strikes attempted
76
57
Total strikes landed
55
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
4.6
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
177s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Leandro Silva
"Buscape"
21-6-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
Blue corner
W1
Drew Dober
30-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—