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Leonardo Santos vs Anthony Rocco Martin

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare ·Ginasio do Maracanazinho
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Leonardo Santos
Anthony Rocco Martin
45% 55%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
35
Age
Δ 10y
25
19-7-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-6
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Santos: 12 sig / 1 TD · Martin: 14 sig / 0 TD
Leonardo Santos
Anthony Rocco Martin
26
Sig strikes landed
26
61
Sig strikes attempted
63
54
Total strikes landed
39
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.4
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
176s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
38%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Leonardo Santos

19-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 3 fights · 2-0
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
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D UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
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W UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
Blue corner
W1

Anthony Rocco Martin

18-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
L UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—