Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Chad Laprise
Bryan Barberena
53%
47%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
29
Age
Δ 3y
26
14-4
Career record
Δ 16 pp
19-12
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Laprise: 84 sig / 0 TD ·
Barberena: 94 sig / 1 TD
Chad Laprise
Bryan Barberena
50
Sig strikes landed
58
119
Sig strikes attempted
131
62
Total strikes landed
71
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.4
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
151s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Chad Laprise
"The Disciple"
14-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
W1
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
19-12
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—