Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
John Makdessi
Shane Campbell
57%
43%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
L1
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Makdessi: 47 sig / 0 TD ·
Campbell: 25 sig / 0 TD
John Makdessi
Shane Campbell
54
Sig strikes landed
46
104
Sig strikes attempted
108
66
Total strikes landed
57
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
81s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
John Makdessi
"The Bull"
18-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—
W
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
Blue corner
Shane Campbell
"Shaolin"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28