Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Bisping
CB Dollaway
79%
21%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
36
Age
Δ 5y
32
30-10
Career record
Δ 12 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bisping: 75 sig / 0 TD ·
Dollaway: 47 sig / 2 TD
Michael Bisping
CB Dollaway
54
Sig strikes landed
49
125
Sig strikes attempted
119
70
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.8
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
94s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
Blue corner
L1
CB Dollaway
"The Doberman"
17-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—