Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Nordine Taleb
Chris Clements
73%
27%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
34
Age
Δ 5y
39
16-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
13-6
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Taleb: 36 sig / 6 TD ·
Clements: 17 sig / 0 TD
Nordine Taleb
Chris Clements
39
Sig strikes landed
31
85
Sig strikes attempted
60
63
Total strikes landed
46
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
206s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Nordine Taleb
16-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
W1
Chris Clements
"The Menace"
13-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
4 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
L
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—