Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Klayton Mai
Xavier Siller
78%
22%
Why
28
Age
Δ 8y
21
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Mai: 6 sig / 1 TD ·
Siller: 4 sig / 1 TD
Klayton Mai
Xavier Siller
46
Sig strikes landed
45
92
Sig strikes attempted
87
65
Total strikes landed
57
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
186s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Klayton Mai
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Age
28
Blue corner
Xavier Siller
"Young Guns"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Age
21