Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
George Pacurariu
Ivan Cole
82%
18%
Why
31
Age
Δ 6y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Pacurariu: 14 sig / 1 TD ·
Cole: 8 sig / 0 TD
George Pacurariu
Ivan Cole
44
Sig strikes landed
43
93
Sig strikes attempted
92
63
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
176s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
George Pacurariu
"Constantine"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Age
31
Blue corner
Ivan Cole
"JP"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Age
24