Back to Bellator 135: Warren vs. Galvao
Featherweight

Brad Mitchell vs Stephen Banaszak

Bellator 135: Warren vs. Galvao ·WinStar World Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Brad Mitchell
Stephen Banaszak
62% 38%
Why
40
Age
Δ 16y
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Mitchell: 9 sig / 0 TD · Banaszak: 33 sig / 0 TD
Brad Mitchell
Stephen Banaszak
50
Sig strikes landed
48
91
Sig strikes attempted
109
61
Total strikes landed
71
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.60
213s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Brad Mitchell

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Age
41
Blue corner

Stephen Banaszak

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Age
24