Back to Bellator 135: Warren vs. Galvao
Featherweight

Emmanuel Sanchez vs Alejandro Villalobos

Bellator 135: Warren vs. Galvao ·WinStar World Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Emmanuel Sanchez
Alejandro Villalobos
88% 12%
Why
25
Age
Δ 11y
35

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sanchez: 61 sig / 0 TD · Villalobos: 59 sig / 1 TD
Emmanuel Sanchez
Alejandro Villalobos
48
Sig strikes landed
47
102
Sig strikes attempted
93
65
Total strikes landed
62
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
130s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Emmanuel Sanchez

"El Matador"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Age
25
Blue corner

Alejandro Villalobos

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Age
35