Back to Bellator 135: Warren vs. Galvao
Light Heavyweight

Francis Carmont vs Guilherme Viana

Bellator 135: Warren vs. Galvao ·WinStar World Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Francis Carmont
Guilherme Viana
89% 11%

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Carmont: 50 sig / 2 TD · Viana: 25 sig / 0 TD
Francis Carmont
Guilherme Viana
43
Sig strikes landed
42
106
Sig strikes attempted
101
63
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
149s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Francis Carmont

"Limitless"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
Blue corner

Guilherme Viana

0-0
Career record
Height
76"