Back to Bellator 134: The British Invasion
Middleweight

Tamdan McCrory vs Jason Butcher

Bellator 134: The British Invasion ·Mohegan Sun Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Tamdan McCrory
Jason Butcher
82% 18%
Why
28
Age
Δ 2y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
McCrory: 3 sig / 1 TD · Butcher: 2 sig / 1 TD
Tamdan McCrory
Jason Butcher
49
Sig strikes landed
45
108
Sig strikes attempted
103
67
Total strikes landed
60
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
156s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Tamdan McCrory

"The Barncat"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
Blue corner

Jason Butcher

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Age
30