Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Adam Piccolotti
Andrew Ramm
90%
10%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Adam Piccolotti
Andrew Ramm
44
Sig strikes landed
41
93
Sig strikes attempted
89
96
Total strikes landed
54
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
209s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Adam Piccolotti
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Age
26
Blue corner
Andrew Ramm
"The"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"