Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
George Zuniga
Blake Watkins
62%
38%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Zuniga: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Watkins: 5 sig / 0 TD
George Zuniga
Blake Watkins
40
Sig strikes landed
41
96
Sig strikes attempted
95
48
Total strikes landed
61
0.6
Takedowns landed
3.4
1.3
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
93s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
George Zuniga
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Blue corner
Blake Watkins
0-0
Career record