Back to Bellator 133: Manhoef vs. Shlemenko
Welterweight

Chris Honeycutt vs Clayton MacFarlane

Bellator 133: Manhoef vs. Shlemenko ·Save Mart Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Chris Honeycutt
Clayton MacFarlane
76% 24%

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Honeycutt: 26 sig / 5 TD · MacFarlane: 19 sig / 1 TD
Chris Honeycutt
Clayton MacFarlane
43
Sig strikes landed
40
102
Sig strikes attempted
99
62
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
3.7
0.8
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
119s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
34%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Chris Honeycutt

"The Cutt"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Age
27
Blue corner

Clayton MacFarlane

0-0
Career record