Back to Bellator 133: Manhoef vs. Shlemenko
Women's Featherweight

Julia Budd vs Gabrielle Holloway

Bellator 133: Manhoef vs. Shlemenko ·Save Mart Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Julia Budd
Gabrielle Holloway
82% 18%
Why
32
Age
Δ 7y
25

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Budd: 55 sig / 5 TD · Holloway: 0 sig / 1 TD
Julia Budd
Gabrielle Holloway
47
Sig strikes landed
45
96
Sig strikes attempted
91
82
Total strikes landed
72
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
204s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Julia Budd

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Age
32
Blue corner

Gabrielle Holloway

"Gabanator"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Age
25