Back to Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
Bantamweight

Fabian Gonzalez vs Albert Morales

Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus ·Pechanga Resort & Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Fabian Gonzalez
Albert Morales
75% 25%

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Gonzalez: 32 sig / 0 TD · Morales: 36 sig / 2 TD
Fabian Gonzalez
Albert Morales
42
Sig strikes landed
42
91
Sig strikes attempted
90
51
Total strikes landed
58
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
156s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Fabian Gonzalez

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Blue corner

Albert Morales

"The Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24