Middleweight
Chris Herrera vs Luc Bondole
Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
·Pechanga Resort & Casino
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chris Herrera
Luc Bondole
75%
25%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Herrera: 17 sig / 1 TD ·
Bondole: 28 sig / 0 TD
Chris Herrera
Luc Bondole
41
Sig strikes landed
42
99
Sig strikes attempted
100
50
Total strikes landed
58
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
146s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Chris Herrera
"The Crusher"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Blue corner
Luc Bondole
0-0
Career record
Height
74"