Back to Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
Lightweight

Derek Anderson vs Danny Navarro

Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus ·Pechanga Resort & Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Derek Anderson
Danny Navarro
86% 14%
Why
25
Age
Δ 7y
32

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Anderson: 64 sig / 0 TD · Navarro: 53 sig / 2 TD
Derek Anderson
Danny Navarro
49
Sig strikes landed
41
110
Sig strikes attempted
103
66
Total strikes landed
54
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
133s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Derek Anderson

"Barbaric"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Age
25
Blue corner

Danny Navarro

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Age
32