Back to Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
Lightweight

Jonathan Rivera vs Steve Kozola

Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus ·Pechanga Resort & Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jonathan Rivera
Steve Kozola
66% 34%

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Rivera: 28 sig / 0 TD · Kozola: 25 sig / 1 TD
Jonathan Rivera
Steve Kozola
41
Sig strikes landed
43
97
Sig strikes attempted
101
52
Total strikes landed
82
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
113s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
32%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jonathan Rivera

0-0
Career record
Blue corner

Steve Kozola

0-0
Career record