Middleweight
Dustin Jacoby vs John Salter
Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
·Pechanga Resort & Casino
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dustin Jacoby
John Salter
67%
33%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Jacoby: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Salter: 22 sig / 2 TD
Dustin Jacoby
John Salter
38
Sig strikes landed
31
81
Sig strikes attempted
68
54
Total strikes landed
48
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
147s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
John Salter
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30