Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Corey Anderson vs Gian Villante
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Corey Anderson
Gian Villante
79%
21%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
15-5
Career record
Δ 19 pp
18-14
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Anderson: 111 sig / 0 TD ·
Villante: 70 sig / 0 TD
Corey Anderson
Gian Villante
51
Sig strikes landed
38
106
Sig strikes attempted
81
71
Total strikes landed
55
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.4
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
224s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
15-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—
Blue corner
W1
Gian Villante
18-14
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—
L
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—