Prelims1
Lightweight
Jim Miller vs Beneil Dariush
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Beneil Dariush
61%
39%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
39-20
Career record
Δ 7 pp
24-8-1
L1
Current streak
W3
13
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Dariush: 27 sig / 2 TD
Jim Miller
Beneil Dariush
25
Sig strikes landed
29
54
Sig strikes attempted
61
34
Total strikes landed
42
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
94s
Control time
175s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39-20
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 9-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
Blue corner
W3
Beneil Dariush
24-8-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—