Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Will Brooks
Michael Chandler
61%
39%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
28
Age
Δ 0y
29
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 4
Brooks: 81 sig / 1 TD ·
Chandler: 40 sig / 0 TD
Will Brooks
Michael Chandler
38
Sig strikes landed
37
81
Sig strikes attempted
78
53
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
174s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Will Brooks
"Ill"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Michael Chandler
"Iron"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29