Prelims1
Heavyweight
Jared Rosholt vs Josh Copeland
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jared Rosholt
Josh Copeland
76%
24%
Why
29
Age
Δ 4y
32
14-5
Career record
Δ 3 pp
12-5
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Rosholt: 22 sig / 2 TD ·
Copeland: 9 sig / 0 TD
Jared Rosholt
Josh Copeland
34
Sig strikes landed
23
60
Sig strikes attempted
48
65
Total strikes landed
41
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.9
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
250s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jared Rosholt
14-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
Blue corner
L1
Josh Copeland
"Cuddly Bear"
12-5
Career record
Height
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—