Prelims2
Flyweight
Sergio Pettis vs Ryan Benoit
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sergio Pettis
Ryan Benoit
85%
15%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
22
Age
Δ 4y
26
19-5
Career record
Δ 27 pp
10-9
W2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Pettis: 39 sig / 1 TD ·
Benoit: 28 sig / 1 TD
Sergio Pettis
Ryan Benoit
48
Sig strikes landed
36
122
Sig strikes attempted
105
74
Total strikes landed
47
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.8
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
153s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Sergio Pettis
19-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
W
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—
Blue corner
L1
Ryan Benoit
"Baby Face"
10-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
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