Prelims1
Lightweight
Ross Pearson vs Sam Stout
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Ross Pearson
Sam Stout
48%
52%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
30
Age
Δ 0y
31
20-17
Career record
Δ 5 pp
20-13-1
L1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Pearson: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Stout: 23 sig / 0 TD
Ross Pearson
Sam Stout
61
Sig strikes landed
63
144
Sig strikes attempted
160
64
Total strikes landed
76
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
56s
Control time
44s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20-17
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
12 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
Blue corner
L1
Sam Stout
"Hands of Stone"
20-13-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
L
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
L
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—