Prelims1
Featherweight
Tiago dos Santos e Silva vs Mike de la Torre
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
·Ginasio Gigantinho
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Tiago dos Santos e Silva
Mike de la Torre
76%
24%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
21-7-2
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-7
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
dos Santos e Silva: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
de la Torre: 16 sig / 0 TD
Tiago dos Santos e Silva
Mike de la Torre
66
Sig strikes landed
53
157
Sig strikes attempted
143
88
Total strikes landed
67
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
202s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tiago dos Santos e Silva
"Trator"
21-7-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
Blue corner
L1
Mike de la Torre
"El Cucuy"
14-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—